Opinion polling for the 2026 South Australian state election

In the lead-up to the 2026 South Australian state election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and individual electoral district results.

Voting intention Graphical summary

House of Assembly Date Firm Samplesize Primary vote 2PP vote ALP LIB GRN ONP IND ALP LIB ONP 21 Mar 2026 2026 election37.5% 18.9% 10.4% 22.9% 5.5% 4.8% 55.7% 44.3% 12–18 Mar 2026Newspoll1,04840%16%12%22%10% 12–18 Mar 2026 DemosAU 1,24237% 17% 11% 23% 12% 9–17 Mar 2026 YouGov 1,265 38% 19% 12% 22% 5% 4% 59% 41% 59% 41% 16 Mar 2026Resolve1,11232%18%10%28%11%6–16 Mar 2026Fox & Hedgehog1,00838%18%11%21% rowspan="3" 12% 60% 40% 59% 41% 53% 47% 19–23 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan 2,172 35% 16.5% 11% 28% 6.5% 3% 61% 39% 59% 41% 52.5% 47.5% 11–17 Feb 2026 Newspoll 1,05744% 14% 12% 24% 6% 6–17 Feb 2026 YouGov 1,217 37% 20% 13% 22% 6% 2% 59% 41% 60% 40% 31 Jan – 16 Feb 2026 DemosAU 1,07043% 18% 12% 19% 8% 31 Jan – 8 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog 904 40% 19% 12% 20% rowspan="3"; 9% 61% 39% 63% 37% 53% 47% 5–8 Dec 2025Ashton Hurn replaces Vincent Tarzia as Liberal leader and leader of the opposition 24 Nov – 5 Dec 2025 Fox & Hedgehog 1,00041% 21% 12% 13% 13% 61% 39% 6–15 Oct 2025 DemosAU 1,00647% 21% 13% 19%66% 34% 15–28 May 2025 YouGov 1,00448% 21% 14% 7% 10% 67% 33% 18–23 Feb 2025 DemosAU 90343% 30% 10% 17% 59% 41% 6–29 Aug 2024 Wolf & Smith 85641% 28% 11% 5% 15% 60% 40% 12 Aug 2024Vincent Tarzia becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition 11–20 Sep 2022 Dynata 61634% 34% 13% 5% 14% 53% 47% 19 Mar 2022 2022 election 40.0% 35.7% 9.1% 2.6% 7.3% 5.3% 54.6% 45.1% —

Legislative Council Date Firm Samplesize Primary vote ALP LIB GRN ONP FFP LCP AJP SAB RC AFP 21 Mar 2026 2026 election 36.7% 17.7% 10.2% 24.4% 2.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.5% 3.0% 31 Jan – 16 Feb 2026 DemosAU 1,070 38% 15% 11% 21% 4% 2% 3% 1% 2% 0% 3% 6–15 Oct 2025 DemosAU 1,006 37% 17% 11% 12% 3% 4% 4% 4% 2% 3% 4% 11–20 Sep 2022 Dynata 616 35% 32% 13% 4% 7% 9% 19 Mar 2022 2022 election 37.0% 34.4% 9.0% 4.2% 3.1% 2.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 5.9%

Approval polling Leadership approval DateFirmPreferred PremierMalinauskasSpeirs/Tarzia/Hurn Malinauskas Tarzia/Hurn Undecided Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Undecided Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Undecided Net 12–18 Mar 2026 DemosAU56% 21% 23%35%49% 20% 31%+29% 21% 21% 58% ±0%6–16 Mar 2026Fox & Hedgehog55%22%23%33%52%19%26%+33%25%15%36%+10% 11–17 Feb 2026 Newspoll64%20%16%44%64%28%8%+36%55%33%12%+22% 6–17 Feb 2026 YouGov67%19%14%48%67%27%6%+40%39%35%26%+4% 31 Jan – 16 Feb 2026 DemosAU56% 22% 22%34% 51% 18% 31% +33% 24% 26% 50% –2%31 Jan – 8 Feb 2026Fox & Hedgehog54%22%24%32%52%21%22%+31%20%13%37%+7% 5–8 Dec 2025Ashton Hurn replaces Vincent Tarzia as Liberal leader and leader of the opposition24 Nov – 5 Dec 2025Fox & Hedgehog54%18%28%36%51%19%25%+32%17%25%36%–8%6–15 Oct 2025DemosAU58%19%23%39%15–28 May 2025YouGov72%14%14%58%70%18%12%+52%22%31%47%–9%18–23 Feb 2025DemosAU51%23%26%28% 12 Aug 2024 Vincent Tarzia becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition11–20 Sep 2022Dynata 74%13%13%+61%51%19%30%+32%

Party approval Date Firm Samplesize Labor Liberal One Nation Family First Pos. Neg. Net Pos. Neg. Net Pos. Neg. Net Pos. Neg. Net6–16 March 2026Fox & Hedgehog1,00843%25%+18%23%36%–13%40%31%+9%31 Jan – 8 Feb 2026Fox & Hedgehog90445%28%+17%25%37%–12%36%30%+6% 24 Nov – 5 Dec 2025 Fox & Hedgehog 1,000 43% 27% +16% 25% 36% –11% 33% 33% 0% 26% 24% +2%

Sub-state polling Inner Adelaide Date Firm Samplesize Primary vote 2PP vote ALP LIB GRN ONP IND ALP LIB ONP 12–18 Mar 2026 DemosAU 44% 19% 13% 15% 9% 31 Jan – 8 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog rowspan="3"; 44% 17% 14% 17% rowspan="3"; 8% 65% 35% 67% 33% 54% 46% 24 Nov – 5 Dec 2025 Fox & Hedgehog 51% 18% 9% 11% 11% 67% 33%

Outer Adelaide Date Firm Samplesize Primary vote 2PP vote ALP LIB GRN ONP IND ALP LIB ONP 12–18 Mar 2026 DemosAU 38% 15% 10% 24% 13% 31 Jan – 8 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog rowspan="3"; 46% 17% 12% 18% rowspan="3"; 7% 66% 34% 67% 33% 53% 47% 24 Nov – 5 Dec 2025 Fox & Hedgehog 38% 22% 12% 16% 12% 58% 42%

Adelaide Date Firm Samplesize Primary vote 2PP vote ALP LIB GRN ONP IND ALP LIB ONP 19–23 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan rowspan="3"; 37.5% 15% 14% 25.5% 5% 3% 65.5% 34.5% 63.5% 36.5% 54% 46%

Regional South Australia Date Firm Samplesize Primary vote 2PP vote ALP LIB GRN ONP IND ALP LIB ONP 12–18 Mar 2026 DemosAU 23% 15% 9% 39% 14% 19–23 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan rowspan="3"; 29% 19% 4.5% 33.5% 10% 4% 48.5% 51.5% 47% 53% 48% 52% 31 Jan – 8 Feb 2026 Fox & Hedgehog rowspan="3"; 29% 24% 9% 26% rowspan="3"; 12% 51% 49% 52% 48% 52% 48% 24 Nov – 5 Dec 2025 Fox & Hedgehog 33% 24% 15% 14% 14% 56% 44%

Individual seat polling Mount Gambier DateFirmSamplesizePrimary vote2CP vote Fatchen(IND) LIB ALP ONP GRN FFP Scholes(IND) Fatchen(IND) LIB Bell(IND) 19 Jan 2026 uComms 300 23.1% 12.1% 17.7% 10.8% 5.0% 7.7% 23.7% 61.7% 38.3% 19 Mar 20222022 election — 29.0% 20.6% — — 4.7% — 45.7% — 36.9% 63.1%

Notes

References